Cannabis play – Can you provide an update on this changing market

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I have an interest in this space (Cannabis) but I know it is very volatile but there must still be potential in this market.

I read some older (July 2020) material on Curaleaf (CURA.CN) when it was trading at $7.50 – $8.00 per share. Today it trades around $19.50 – 20.50 range. Did I miss the boat?

Alternatively, I understand there are a number of other plays in this space (stocks and ETFs). I recall reading an analysis on Stock Trades but I think it too is a bit long in the tooth (prior to recent election and new announcements regarding US state legalization).

Can you provide thoughts on the space in general and potential of Curaleaf (CURA.CN)?

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Asked on January 14, 2021 8:59 am
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Hey there. I've answered a few questions here regarding cannabis stocks/cannabis ETFs.

There is no doubt more potential in the sector now that the Democrats have complete control. However, I personally think the cannabis sector has ran up a bit too much, too soon. I mean you can see a stock like Curaleaf has essentially doubled since October.

If you've ever heard the phrase buy the rumor, sell the news, I think there is the potential for this to happen. The stocks are running right now on pure speculation based on the legalization of cannabis in the United States.

However, in terms of whether or not these stocks will continue to run up, that's a difficult question to answer. I was part of the first cannabis wave. I bought Canopy Growth in the high single digits, and sold for over $64 less than a year later. But I also watched people nonsensically pay 200X earnings for stocks like Aurora, Canopy etc.

The euphoria this time is nowhere near the same, don't get me wrong, but we still see popular options like Canopy Growth trading at 30X sales.

Is there more money to be made in buying right now? In my opinion, yes.

But, are prices somewhat unjustified as well right now, and riding some strong momentum based off speculation? Again, yes.

So, whenever we run into situations like this, we have to understand the high amount of risk we're taking, especially since we're relying on the government here. We know how poorly the Canadian government rolled this all out, and it cost investors a TON of money.

Hope this helped!

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Posted by Dan Kent
Answered on January 14, 2021 4:31 pm