What’s your thoughts on keyera (key.to)

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As the energy sector as whole has yet to recover, im wondering what your thoughts are on Keyera. I hold a small position (200 shares), which I purchased at $24.25. It has since dropped a bit to $21.83. The current yield is over 8%.

Do you think the company and dividend are solid and what are your thoughts on the company moving forward.

Thanks for your reply.

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Asked on September 13, 2020 9:16 pm
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Hey there! I apologize. Sometimes when I reply to these, it looks like the question has been answered.

First off, if you're looking for exposure to the oil and gas sector, you're headed down the right path choosing pipelines over producers. However, I'd imagine you're looking at Keyera for the 9% yield, and wondering if it's sustainable.

To me, Keyera is a solid option in the sector. Most of the company's debt is not coming due in the next while and if you look to compare Keyera to Pembina and Enbridge, they have the most cash per share, the least debt per share and they are the only one of the 3 with positive working capital.

The company has $173 million in cash and over $1.5 billion in available credit. So, they have the liquidity to weather this storm, potentially even in a second wave situation.

The only issue I see, is the company has been on a gradual decline over the last 6-7 years. Over the last 6 years, it has a compound annual growth rate of -12.71%, quickly eating away any dividend income. Pembina and Enbridge haven't been world beaters by any means, but their CAGR's are significantly better than Keyera.

If you're investing in the company solely because of yield, you really have to think if you can earn more elsewhere. If Keyera is paying you 9%, but losing 5% annually in share price every year, there would be much, much better opportunities.

That decision however comes with personal opinions and outlooks on the oil and gas sector. I'm fairly bearish, and if I were to purchase a pipeline (which I already own it) it would be an industry leader like Enbridge.

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Posted by Dan Kent
Answered on September 18, 2020 7:31 pm
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Hey there! We haven't looked at Keyera since April. So, I'm going to update the report on the company.

For now, I'm going to give you this to read:

https://www.stocktrades.ca/premium/custom-stock-reports/keyera-key-to/

This is our report back in April of 2020. Keep in mind, some of this information has changed, so read this report as just a little bit of a preview. I'll have an updated one back to you in 48 hours.

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Posted by Dan Kent
Answered on September 14, 2020 8:10 am