Xebec acquisition : what are you thinking

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Hi guys,

Just saw Mat tweet on the acquisition from Xebec. I already own some shares and was thinking about adding some. This acquistion seem like a good move but I’d like your opinion.

As always thanks for you time !

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Asked on December 9, 2020 6:49 am
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Hi there,

Yes - big deal indeed. It has 'transformational' potential and gives it a leading position in the hydrogen industry and increases its exposure to Europe. I am not sure how the markets will react given it concurrently announced a bought deal at $5.80 per share (~18% discount to market price) to finance the transaction. So you have a big share issue and $$ raise to complement a big acquisition.

I found Xebec to be a little expensive previously, so leveraging its high share price to close this deal is a sign of good management. Long-term, I like what I am seeing out of Xebec and it is quickly becoming best-in-class. Valuations are still a little high, but if it can execute and match growth expectations, the company should be a strong long-term hold.

I am not sure where this will go today, but I'd considering take a close look at it if it dipped. Strong company, nice revenue growth, leader in the space and a big worldwide shift towards renewables supports a long-term thesis. Downside is that it is a little expensive here and has a terrible history of meeting analysts estimates - so inconsistent delivery vs expectations. Of note, likely will be added to our watchlist.

Mat

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Posted by Mathieu Litalien
Answered on December 9, 2020 7:04 am