for DOO.TO, do you want a high P/E for trailing or forward P/E?

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Asked on March 29, 2025 7:57 pm
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Typically for cyclical stocks, the strategy is to buy at high P/E ratios and sell at low P/E ratios on a trailing basis.

This is because the market is generally forward looking. When a cyclical stock hits the bottom of its cycle, earnings collapse. The stock price may have already started recovering in anticipation of a turnaround, but earnings are still weak — so the P/E ratio appears high.

At the peak of a cycle, companies are making record profits. The stock may not move much because the market knows these earnings are unsustainable — yet they make the P/E ratio look low.

With a high p/e, you're not really buying when the stock is expensive, you're buying when earnings are temporarily in the gutter. And the reverse can be said for a low p/e.

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Posted by Dan Kent
Answered on March 31, 2025 8:49 am