Miners down…

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I might of went a little overboard with the mining stocks and currently hold positions in AGI, EDV, FNV, MGM, and PVG (currently 18.18% of my total stock portfolio). I’ve always been a bit of a gold bug and have been buying physical for the last 4 years leading up to the surge in prices and excessive fees sparked by covid fears. Last year I started putting the percentage of my income (5%) that I used to put into physical bullion into miners, many of which still seemed undervalued to me. This decision led to an overweighting towards miners in my portfolio, luckily my gains with MGM still held-up against the current downturn in all the other companies and I have already taken profits and moved them into other sectors. However the remainder of these companies remain down and represent the majority of my losses (all in my TFSA). I hate to sell at a loss but I am seriously considering trimming down and rebalancing, perhaps selling off all of my EDV stock as they have the lowest rating amongst these companies on your screener. I understand miners are very volatile, and I am not allergic to taking a long-term approach. My question here is what do you think is the best strategy? Alternately I could rebalance buy focusing all my new stock purchases in other sectors and waiting for the next upturn in the miners to sell some off…

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Asked on January 24, 2021 11:38 am
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I also bought two gold mining companies on what I though was a "dip" in November and as I watched the stock prices fall, realized that unlike the other companies that are recovering from the crash, gold company stock prices increased to new highs during COVID out of consumer fear, IMO. I think what we are seeing right now in gold mining company prices, is a settling of stock prices in between the pre-COVID levels and the COVID-inflated "protect-my-cash-in-gold" frenzy price points. If you bought great companies, your investment should still go up over time, so I would not panic sell positions in gold mines.

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Posted by Denise LeBelle
Answered on January 25, 2021 6:45 am
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I also bought two gold mining companies on what I though was a "dip" in November and as I watched the stock prices fall, realized that unlike the other companies that are recovering from the crash, gold company stock prices increased to new highs during COVID out of consumer fear, IMO. I think what we are seeing right now in gold mining company prices, is a settling of stock prices in between the pre-COVID levels and the COVID-inflated "protect-my-cash-in-gold" frenzy price points. If you bought great companies, your investment should still go up over time, so I would not panic sell positions in gold mines.

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Posted by Denise LeBelle
Answered on January 25, 2021 6:45 am
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Awesome thanks guys! Always appreciate your outlooks.

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Posted by Dan Kent
Answered on January 24, 2021 10:29 pm
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Awesome thanks guys! Always appreciate your outlooks.

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Posted by Dan Kent
Answered on January 24, 2021 10:29 pm
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I am in a similar position as I have taken the profit on financials and increased exposure on crypto/crypto miners/and generally I bought all the dip of silver/gold miners recently understanding that it seems oversold. This is definitely more risky way to do but gold/silver prices seem to be holding up very well.
Recent news of war may be favorable to the metals. I'm not sure - but I am heavily bullish.

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Posted by Daniel Shin
Answered on January 24, 2021 6:47 pm
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I am in a similar position as I have taken the profit on financials and increased exposure on crypto/crypto miners/and generally I bought all the dip of silver/gold miners recently understanding that it seems oversold. This is definitely more risky way to do but gold/silver prices seem to be holding up very well.
Recent news of war may be favorable to the metals. I'm not sure - but I am heavily bullish.

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Posted by Daniel Shin
Answered on January 24, 2021 6:47 pm
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Hi there,

Without knowing your exact profile, goals, etc - we can't make a recommendation on what you should do. It'll depend on your risk profile, how much you contribute to your investments annually, age, etc. So many factors to consider.

That being said, I believe gold stocks are cheap here. They are generating considerable cash flow, raising the dividend and the fundamentals to support a high gold price remain in place. Sure, miners are showing weakness but in many cases, it appears over done. Should gold maintain these price levels, then I'd expect the miners to eventually close that valuation gap.

The strategy you mentioned at the end might be the right choice if you think miners are going to rebound. It will also depend on if you see better opportunities. For example, if you have your an on a stock that you think will yield better returns here, then perhaps selling and taking advantage of that opportunity might be best. Personally, I would not sell if I didn't see a better opportunity - likely would if I did as that exposure is quite high.

I do however, agree that at 18% - it is a very high exposure and if it were me, I'd be looking at rebalancing. How I did that would depend on investing horizon. I remember at one point financials accounted for almost 50% of my holdings...i didn't sell any, but slowly diversified away from financials. Many ways to go about doing this if you have a long-term horizon. If you have a shorter term horizon, than it may be best to rebalance sooner than later.

Mat

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Posted by Mathieu Litalien
Answered on January 24, 2021 6:35 pm
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Hi there,

Without knowing your exact profile, goals, etc - we can't make a recommendation on what you should do. It'll depend on your risk profile, how much you contribute to your investments annually, age, etc. So many factors to consider.

That being said, I believe gold stocks are cheap here. They are generating considerable cash flow, raising the dividend and the fundamentals to support a high gold price remain in place. Sure, miners are showing weakness but in many cases, it appears over done. Should gold maintain these price levels, then I'd expect the miners to eventually close that valuation gap.

The strategy you mentioned at the end might be the right choice if you think miners are going to rebound. It will also depend on if you see better opportunities. For example, if you have your an on a stock that you think will yield better returns here, then perhaps selling and taking advantage of that opportunity might be best. Personally, I would not sell if I didn't see a better opportunity - likely would if I did as that exposure is quite high.

I do however, agree that at 18% - it is a very high exposure and if it were me, I'd be looking at rebalancing. How I did that would depend on investing horizon. I remember at one point financials accounted for almost 50% of my holdings...i didn't sell any, but slowly diversified away from financials. Many ways to go about doing this if you have a long-term horizon. If you have a shorter term horizon, than it may be best to rebalance sooner than later.

Mat

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Posted by Mathieu Litalien
Answered on January 24, 2021 6:35 pm