Stella Jones

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Do you think Stella Jones has run its course??

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Asked on July 3, 2024 5:38 pm
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Yes. That makes sense. Thanks for your time and expertise Dan.

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Posted by misadventure17@gmail.com
Answered on July 8, 2024 1:19 pm
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Stella Jones was an old Bull List stock here and we removed it in the high $60 range (After adding it to the list in the low $40 range). At that point, our thesis of the company being a value stock had been satisfied and that it would grow inline with earnings from there on out.

It has put up some exceptional earnings, and as a result it has ran up to the high $85~ range.

I don't view the company as cheap anymore. I actually view it as slightly expensive. This means the company will need to continue putting up strong earnings growth to justify current valuations. Most pundits have it growing earnings at a high single digit rate over the next few years, and if it continues to do this I think it'll be able to grow from here, but moving forward I'd generally view the stocks potential share appreciation being relative to its earnings growth.

I guess in laypersons terms, I don't see any sort of valuation expansion on a price to earnings basis unless it posts exceptional results over and above what is expected. Whereas when it was a value play when it was in the $40's, we viewed it as a potential turnaround play not only on the earnings front but also on a valuation multiple expansion front.

Let me know if that makes sense.

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Posted by Dan Kent
Answered on July 3, 2024 8:08 pm