Thoughts on Overstock.com, Inc. (OSTK)

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Would appreciate your insights on Overstock.com, Inc. (OSTK). It’s dropped quite a bit from its highs and 1 YR target.

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Asked on January 18, 2021 7:04 am
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Hi there,

I think this is one of those cases where one needs to keep perspective. Although OSTK has dipped significantly its high, the company's stock price is still up 592% over the past year. One could argue that the run-up to over $120 per share was over done - likely in big way. So sure, it is down significantly from there, however it is still a stock that is performing quite well.

As an eCommerce play it is benefiting from the shift to online buying - evidence by their 111% retail sales grown in the third quarter which also saw a 141% uptick in retail customers. It is now the fifth largest home furnishings company in the U.S. behind Amazon, Wayfair, Walmart and Target.

The question as always comes down to valuation. Even at these reduced levels, the company isn't cheap. It is trading at 55 times forward earnings and it is a company that prior to 2002, had a very checkered history of meeting estimates. In fact, it never beat on both earnings and revenue since it listed in 2016. So it actually has a spotty history of execution which is likely why its stock price was in a downward trend from 2018 until post-pandemic euphoria.

Mat

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Posted by Mathieu Litalien
Answered on January 18, 2021 12:10 pm