WCP

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Hi,

Energy had a rough ride in past months, however WCP stands out with an impressive 200% gains since March from $0.78 to $2.57.
What are your thoughts in its future?

Thanks!

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Asked on October 15, 2020 9:18 pm
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Private answer

Hi there,

I would not focus too much on gains since March - many companies are off their March lows in a pretty big way. It's 200% gain is also a result of it crashing harder than most. This is still a company that is down 53% year to date. Since the majority of production comes for oil, an investment in WCP is a bet on a recovery in the price of oil.

Either you believe there will be a meaningful recovery in oil prices or you don't. We remain unconvinced that big jump will happen anytime soon and there remains considerable uncertainty around the demand for oil. Now, we are even hearing rumblings of peak oil having been achieved in 2019. All things considered, we are happy to sit on the sidelines here. If we miss out on a big rise in oil prices, so be it.

If you are bullish, then WCP is certainly one of the better names in the industry. If you are interested in the attractive yield, remember this is a company that cut the dividend by 50% back in March. That being said, it is likely more sustainable at these levels. Regardless which oil producer you pick, there is a high risk but also high reward factor.

Mat

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Posted by Mathieu Litalien
Answered on October 16, 2020 4:33 am