WE Commerce…. thoughts on long term growth

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Hi there,

I found some news on WE for their previous quarter earnings from their former operating company:

Q3 2020 Highlights
— Total revenues for Q3 2020 increased by $2,037,507 or 52.2% over the same
period in 2019

— Net income after tax for Q3 2020 increased by $122,256 or 30.7% over the
same period in 2019

— EBITDA1 for Q3 2020 increased by $751,178 or 64.7% over the same period
in 2019

— Adjusted EBITDA1 for Q3 2020 increased by $807,988 or 61.2% over the same
period in 2019

— Q3 2020 includes three full months of operating results and EBITDA
contribution of Foursixty Inc

Could you provide some insight on where this company could be heading and if taking a long position would be beneficial as they’re tied into the Shopify ecosystem. Thanks!

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Asked on December 18, 2020 8:22 am
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Private answer

Hey there! We actually answered this question a couple times. If you search wecommerce, you'll see answers from a couple days ago. Here was Mats insights on the company, copied from the other answer:

Hi there,

WeCommerce went public via Capital Pool Company - we talked about a few others that have gone public this way. WeCommerce did not cross our radar, but I had a look at all the filings. It is very difficult to analyze the company has unlike a normal IPO, they aren't required to submit a prospectus and unlike an SPAC, there is no need for shareholders to approve the transaction.

From what I can tell, WeCommerce is on pace to grow revenue by approximately 20% this year - no idea what its growth rate was in years prior. Prior to being acquired, it only had 1 news release in 2020 - news of acquiring Foursixty Inc. From the filings, WeCommerce aims to to "acquire businesses (“Portfolio Companies”) within the Shopify ecosystem, including Software as a Service (“SaaS”) businesses. Generally, these businesses build digital goods such as Apps and Themes and run Agencies that support Shopify merchants." In essence it is trying to be a leading consolidator in the Shopify partner ecosystem.

Kind of interesting business model, but is in effect a holding company. They are pretty much relying on the Shopify ecosystem to grow and making acquisitions within that ecosystem.

From my calculations the company generated $17.3M in the last twelve months and has a market cap of $554M based on today's closing price. Of note, it issued shares at $7.00 in the CPC IPO process so it essentially doubled from the IPO price on open. That gives it a P/S ratio of 32 - which isn't cheap. I would have said the IPO looks decently valued, but now it looks expensive. Granted I know nothing of expected growth rates moving forward.

Mat

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Posted by Dan Kent
Answered on December 18, 2020 10:42 am